Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.016401 0.019087 0.022053 0.025569 0.029620 0.034139 0.039558
2025-12-14 0.011779 0.015080 0.019065 0.024217 0.030694 0.038553 0.048805
2025-12-21 0.009086 0.012637 0.017266 0.023717 0.032452 0.043837 0.059777
2025-12-28 0.007745 0.011582 0.016930 0.024883 0.036361 0.052271 0.075928
2026-01-04 0.006588 0.010516 0.016329 0.025491 0.039488 0.059968 0.092082
2026-01-11 0.005384 0.009129 0.014988 0.024730 0.040407 0.064507 0.104163
2026-01-18 0.004552 0.008159 0.014096 0.024457 0.041940 0.070041 0.118333
2026-01-25 0.003820 0.007214 0.013072 0.023774 0.042642 0.074251 0.130799
2026-02-01 0.003262 0.006471 0.012261 0.023297 0.043567 0.078853 0.144364
2026-02-08 0.002839 0.005897 0.011653 0.023067 0.044847 0.084140 0.159646
2026-02-15 0.002440 0.005300 0.010904 0.022449 0.045302 0.087958 0.172660
2026-02-22 0.002270 0.005133 0.010954 0.023367 0.048760 0.097631 0.197570
2026-03-01 0.002017 0.004759 0.010546 0.023338 0.050409 0.104174 0.217490
2026-03-08 0.001733 0.004264 0.009816 0.022533 0.050375 0.107428 0.231329
2026-03-15 0.001534 0.003930 0.009378 0.022288 0.051472 0.113069 0.250661
2026-03-22 0.001463 0.003888 0.009586 0.023505 0.055893 0.126087 0.286890
2026-03-29 0.001360 0.003748 0.009545 0.024144 0.059098 0.136863 0.319505
2026-04-05 0.001191 0.003409 0.008979 0.023453 0.059148 0.140738 0.337337
2026-04-12 0.001067 0.003169 0.008618 0.023211 0.060219 0.147003 0.361250
2026-04-19 0.000940 0.002894 0.008128 0.022568 0.060228 0.150810 0.379873
2026-04-26 0.000837 0.002670 0.007735 0.022119 0.060654 0.155634 0.401425
2026-05-03 0.000756 0.002495 0.007446 0.021902 0.061642 0.161909 0.427162
2026-05-10 0.000670 0.002290 0.007044 0.021316 0.061578 0.165568 0.446795